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Democratic Consolidation in Sub-Saharan Africa

Nicki Khorram-Manesh
Working paper series 2013:1
QOG The Quality of Government Institute

Nicki Khorram-Manesh
Working paper series 2013:1
QOG The Quality of Government Institute

Democratic Consolidation in Sub-Saharan Africa
Can the variation be attributed to the level of corruption at early stages of democratization ?

Despite the fact that almost all of the countries in Sub-Saharan Africa introduced multiparty elections during the 1990’s and that the region has seen democratic progress over the years, only nine out of the regions forty-nine states were considered by Freedom House in 2011 to be free and
democratic.

Using a multivariate logistic regression this paper adopts the preconditionist view of democratization theory and attempts to test and develop the argument that the variation in democratic consolidation in Sub-Saharan African countries can be attributed to levels of corruption at early stages of
democratization.

The covariation between degrees of corruption and democratic consolidation is strong. Moreover, both the bivariate and the multivariate logistic regression conducted in the analysis, and other visualizations of the two models, gives us further reason to believe that the degrees of corruption at a certain time serve as an important precondition. There are, however, reasons to interpret the data with care due to lack of observations and significant relationships.

Publié le 27 février 2013

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