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Elections politiques et fragilité en Afrique

Africa has made very good progress in institution building and in promoting democratic practices on the political front. However, there is some way to go in some countries where reversals of democratic practices have been reversed such as recently, in Mali. Indeed, the Arab spring revolutions also pint to challenges of in the area of Voice and Accountability, which is potentially explosive when combined with youth unemployment. One question is, are political elections outcomes in Africa random ? Is there a pattern in election outcomes ? What factors determine the pattern of outcomes ? In this short piece, I try to answer these questions, by analyzing data of all 653 elections in Africa from 1960 to 2010, of which 299 (46%) were legislative elections and 354 (54%) were presidential. Lire plus.

Publié le 13 novembre 2012

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